Ready within the wings? Former Gov. Andrew Cuomo would simply win the Democratic main for NYC mayor this yr if he decides to run, in line with a Honan Technique Group ballot launched on Feb. 3, 2025.
Photograph by Al Drago/Getty Photos
One more ballot of the 2025 NYC mayoral race exhibits former Gov. Andrew Cuomo — who has but to enter the competition — handily beating all declared candidates for the Democratic nomination, together with incumbent Mayor Eric Adams.
Not solely is Adams polling in single digits on the primary poll, however the Honan Technique Group ballot launched Monday additionally discovered Hizzoner extra unpopular with these surveyed than President Donald Trump.
Cuomo, the Queens native who resigned as governor in 2021 amid a sexual harassment scandal, has been rumored for a while to be contemplating a marketing campaign for mayor however has not but formally declared.
However, the Honan Technique Group ballot of 769 doubtless New York Metropolis Democratic main voters, taken Jan. 23-26, confirmed Cuomo with a 25-point lead over all different Democrats at the moment looking for the workplace.
The previous governor had the assist of greater than a 3rd of these surveyed (35%), far forward of present Metropolis Comptroller Brad Lander at 10%. He was adopted by Mayor Adams and socialist Queens Meeting Member Zohran Mamdani, each of whom had 9% of voters’ assist. One in 5 voters (20%) stated they didn’t know who to vote for.
Honan Technique Group
The Democratic mayoral main is a ranked-choice contest by which voters choose their high 4 decisions for mayor. Simulating such a vote, the Honan group ballot discovered that Cuomo would win on the sixth poll of voting with 58%; Mayor Adams, alternatively, can be eradicated after the fifth spherical.
Outcomes of the ballot’s ranked alternative voting simulation.Honan Technique Group
Nonetheless ‘premature’
Then-Gov. Andrew Cuomo at a press convention in Manhattan on Oct. 5, 2020.Photograph by Mark Hallum
Regardless of the sturdy ballot numbers, the Cuomo camp didn’t point out on Monday whether or not the previous governor would formally be part of the race.
Wealthy Azzopardi, founder and principal of Bulldog Methods and a long-time Cuomo aide and affiliate, stated on Feb. 3 that speak of a Cuomo mayoral bid stays “premature” however that the ballot numbers mirrored the energy of the governor’s earlier accomplishments.
Even so, the clock is ticking for the previous governor to leap into the Democratic mayoral main, which can happen on June 24. Petitioning for the competition and different races on the poll takes place in March.
Sturdy polling on key points
Cuomo has polled strongly earlier than in surveys carried out in latest weeks. A December ballot commissioned by Progressives for Democracy in America had the previous governor with a 22-point lead over the declared subject.
At across the similar time that survey was printed, an inner ballot from former Metropolis Comptroller Scott Stringer’s mayoral marketing campaign additionally discovered that Cuomo would have a 20-point lead on the sphere if the ex-governor enters the competition. (That ballot prompt Stringer would narrowly win the first if Cuomo chooses to not run.)
Certainly, the Honan Technique Ballot discovered that voters have extra confidence in Cuomo than different candidates within the Democratic main subject on numerous points affecting the Large Apple. Greater than a 3rd of voters stated they trusted Cuomo greater than the remainder on combating crime, making New York Metropolis safer, taking up the Trump administration, ending the migrant disaster, creating jobs and rising the economic system, enhancing the general high quality of life, and fixing the MTA.
Crime, high quality of life, and affordability have been the three points that the survey respondents stated have been most necessary to them.
Title recognition additionally helped Cuomo within the ballot, which discovered that fifty% of these surveyed had a good view of Cuomo; solely Stringer (53%) had a better favorability ranking.
Too near Trump?
Eric Adams, mayor of New York, heart, in the course of the sixtieth presidential inauguration in Emancipation Corridor of the US Capitol in Washington, DC, US, on Monday, Jan. 20, 2025.Al Drago/Pool by way of REUTERS
On the alternative spectrum, nevertheless, is Mayor Adams — whose time period has been beset with scandal and a federal felony indictment that the Trump Justice Division could drop.
The Honan ballot discovered that 83% of these surveyed had an unfavorable view of the incumbent mayor; against this, 81% had an unfavorable view of President Trump. Almost two-thirds of voters (64%) stated they believed the average Adams is just too intently tied to the right-wing president.
In latest months, Adams has taken a extra measured and cooperative tone with the brand new president amid rumors that he would possibly search a pardon from the federal indictment — an accusation that Adams has repeatedly and strongly denied. The mayor beforehand met with Trump in Palm Seaside forward of the president’s Jan. 20 inauguration on the Capitol, which Adams additionally attended — foregoing a slate of native Martin Luther King Jr. Day occasions within the course of.
Adams’ poor favorability scores appear to mirror one other common view within the ballot, which discovered that 75% of these surveyed consider the town is heading within the mistaken course. Honan Technique described the temper of voters as “largely negative,” with 80% saying they have been nervous about crime; 70% saying they have been fearful in regards to the future; 66% ranking the town authorities poorly; and 45% saying they might be compelled to maneuver out of New York Metropolis if issues worsen.
New York News Metro reached out to Adams’ marketing campaign for remark in regards to the ballot and is awaiting a response.
The mayor has beforehand dismissed different polls that confirmed Cuomo forward, going as far as to check the state of affairs to early within the 2021 contest, by which entrepreneur Andrew Yang had a commanding lead in a race Adams would finally win.
Honan Technique Group carried out the survey utilizing a text-to-web methodology. Contributors have been despatched a textual content message with a hyperlink to the survey, to which they responded. The general margin of error is +/—3.53%.
