Prepared inside the wings? Former Gov. Andrew Cuomo would merely win the Democratic predominant for NYC mayor this yr if he decides to run, in step with a Honan Method Group poll launched on Feb. 3, 2025.
{Photograph} by Al Drago/Getty Pictures
Yet another poll of the 2025 NYC mayoral race displays former Gov. Andrew Cuomo — who has however to enter the competitors — handily beating all declared candidates for the Democratic nomination, along with incumbent Mayor Eric Adams.
Not solely is Adams polling in single digits on the first ballot, nonetheless the Honan Method Group poll launched Monday moreover found Hizzoner further unpopular with these surveyed than President Donald Trump.
Cuomo, the Queens native who resigned as governor in 2021 amid a sexual harassment scandal, has been rumored for some time to be considering a advertising marketing campaign for mayor nonetheless has not however formally declared.
Nonetheless, the Honan Method Group poll of 769 likely New York Metropolis Democratic predominant voters, taken Jan. 23-26, confirmed Cuomo with a 25-point lead over all completely different Democrats in the intervening time searching for the office.
The earlier governor had the help of higher than a third of those surveyed (35%), far ahead of current Metropolis Comptroller Brad Lander at 10%. He was adopted by Mayor Adams and socialist Queens Assembly Member Zohran Mamdani, every of whom had 9% of voters’ help. One in 5 voters (20%) acknowledged they did not know who to vote for.
Honan Method Group
The Democratic mayoral predominant is a ranked-choice contest by which voters select their excessive 4 choices for mayor. Simulating such a vote, the Honan group poll found that Cuomo would win on the sixth ballot of voting with 58%; Mayor Adams, alternatively, could be eradicated after the fifth spherical.
Outcomes of the poll’s ranked various voting simulation.Honan Method Group
Nonetheless ‘premature’
Then-Gov. Andrew Cuomo at a press conference in Manhattan on Oct. 5, 2020.{Photograph} by Mark Hallum
Whatever the sturdy poll numbers, the Cuomo camp did not level out on Monday whether or not or not the earlier governor would formally be a part of the race.
Rich Azzopardi, founder and principal of Bulldog Strategies and a long-time Cuomo aide and affiliate, acknowledged on Feb. 3 that talk of a Cuomo mayoral bid stays “premature” nonetheless that the poll numbers mirrored the power of the governor’s earlier accomplishments.
Even so, the clock is ticking for the earlier governor to leap into the Democratic mayoral predominant, which may occur on June 24. Petitioning for the competitors and completely different races on the ballot takes place in March.
Sturdy polling on key factors
Cuomo has polled strongly sooner than in surveys carried out in newest weeks. A December poll commissioned by Progressives for Democracy in America had the earlier governor with a 22-point lead over the declared topic.
At throughout the same time that survey was printed, an internal poll from former Metropolis Comptroller Scott Stringer’s mayoral advertising marketing campaign moreover found that Cuomo would have a 20-point lead on the sphere if the ex-governor enters the competitors. (That poll immediate Stringer would narrowly win the primary if Cuomo chooses to not run.)
Definitely, the Honan Method Poll found that voters have further confidence in Cuomo than completely different candidates inside the Democratic predominant topic on quite a few factors affecting the Giant Apple. Larger than a third of voters acknowledged they trusted Cuomo higher than the rest on combating crime, making New York Metropolis safer, taking over the Trump administration, ending the migrant catastrophe, creating jobs and rising the financial system, enhancing the overall top quality of life, and fixing the MTA.
Crime, top quality of life, and affordability have been the three factors that the survey respondents acknowledged have been most crucial to them.
Title recognition moreover helped Cuomo inside the poll, which found that fifty% of those surveyed had view of Cuomo; solely Stringer (53%) had a greater favorability rating.
Too close to Trump?
Eric Adams, mayor of New York, coronary heart, in the middle of the sixtieth presidential inauguration in Emancipation Hall of the US Capitol in Washington, DC, US, on Monday, Jan. 20, 2025.Al Drago/Pool by means of REUTERS
On the choice spectrum, nonetheless, is Mayor Adams — whose time interval has been beset with scandal and a federal felony indictment that the Trump Justice Division may drop.
The Honan poll found that 83% of those surveyed had an unfavorable view of the incumbent mayor; towards this, 81% had an unfavorable view of President Trump. Virtually two-thirds of voters (64%) acknowledged they believed the typical Adams is simply too intently tied to the right-wing president.
In newest months, Adams has taken a further measured and cooperative tone with the model new president amid rumors that he may search a pardon from the federal indictment — an accusation that Adams has repeatedly and strongly denied. The mayor beforehand met with Trump in Palm Seaside ahead of the president’s Jan. 20 inauguration on the Capitol, which Adams moreover attended — foregoing a slate of native Martin Luther King Jr. Day events inside the course of.
Adams’ poor favorability scores seem to reflect one different widespread view inside the poll, which found that 75% of those surveyed think about the city is heading inside the mistaken course. Honan Method described the mood of voters as “largely negative,” with 80% saying they’ve been nervous about crime; 70% saying they’ve been fearful regarding the future; 66% rating the city authorities poorly; and 45% saying they is likely to be compelled to maneuver out of New York Metropolis if points worsen.
New York Information Metro reached out to Adams’ advertising marketing campaign for comment regarding the poll and is awaiting a response.
The mayor has beforehand dismissed completely different polls that confirmed Cuomo ahead, going so far as to test the state of affairs to early inside the 2021 contest, by which entrepreneur Andrew Yang had a commanding lead in a race Adams would lastly win.
Honan Method Group carried out the survey using a text-to-web methodology. Contributors have been despatched a textual content material message with a hyperlink to the survey, to which they responded. The final margin of error is +/—3.53%.
